Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000665 0.000694 0.000723 0.000756 0.000790 0.000826 0.000865
2025-11-09 0.000605 0.000647 0.000692 0.000742 0.000797 0.000856 0.000925
2025-11-16 0.000562 0.000612 0.000667 0.000731 0.000803 0.000883 0.000979
2025-11-23 0.000541 0.000599 0.000664 0.000742 0.000832 0.000935 0.001062
2025-11-30 0.000518 0.000583 0.000655 0.000743 0.000849 0.000972 0.001128
2025-12-07 0.000492 0.000560 0.000637 0.000733 0.000850 0.000989 0.001170
2025-12-14 0.000469 0.000539 0.000620 0.000722 0.000848 0.001002 0.001207
2025-12-21 0.000451 0.000522 0.000606 0.000714 0.000849 0.001017 0.001246
2025-12-28 0.000422 0.000493 0.000576 0.000684 0.000821 0.000994 0.001232
2026-01-04 0.000406 0.000477 0.000563 0.000674 0.000818 0.001001 0.001260
2026-01-11 0.000395 0.000467 0.000554 0.000670 0.000821 0.001018 0.001299
2026-01-18 0.000381 0.000454 0.000543 0.000661 0.000818 0.001025 0.001325
2026-01-25 0.000373 0.000448 0.000540 0.000664 0.000831 0.001054 0.001386
2026-02-01 0.000361 0.000435 0.000528 0.000654 0.000827 0.001061 0.001414
2026-02-08 0.000349 0.000424 0.000517 0.000646 0.000824 0.001069 0.001445
2026-02-15 0.000345 0.000422 0.000520 0.000656 0.000846 0.001112 0.001531
2026-02-22 0.000339 0.000417 0.000517 0.000657 0.000857 0.001140 0.001594
2026-03-01 0.000329 0.000406 0.000506 0.000649 0.000852 0.001145 0.001622
2026-03-08 0.000319 0.000396 0.000496 0.000639 0.000846 0.001148 0.001646
2026-03-15 0.000311 0.000387 0.000488 0.000632 0.000844 0.001155 0.001677
2026-03-22 0.000296 0.000370 0.000467 0.000607 0.000813 0.001118 0.001633
2026-03-29 0.000288 0.000361 0.000458 0.000599 0.000807 0.001119 0.001653
2026-04-05 0.000282 0.000355 0.000452 0.000595 0.000808 0.001131 0.001692